Germany
Bayern Munich - Bundesliga
Data read
Limited evidence
When the historical sample is weak, use recent club and league context to understand role, volume, and form.
Player summary
In the available historical sample, Jamal Musiala took 21 shots. xG estimates how many goals those chances were usually worth. The model estimated those shots were worth about 2.44 goals, and Jamal Musiala scored 3.
He scored roughly in line with what the model expected from the chances in this sample. The average shot was worth about 0.116 xG, or roughly a 12% chance of becoming a goal. Recent club and scouting context is also available from recent league form (FBref), club xG context (Understat), experimental xG check.
Past sample shots
21
StatsBomb open-data matches
xG in available past matches
2.44
Not a 2026 forecast
Goals
3
Goals in covered matches
Scoring vs expected
0.56
Goals minus expected goals estimate
Shots
282
Recent club/league rows pulled
Goals
47
Recent league form
Minutes
7,789
Where available
Club shots
181
Understat rows
Club xG
26.23
Context only
Club goals
30
Covered seasons
Modeled shots
190
Understat shot rows
Experimental xG
24.56
Research layer only
High-xG shots
36
Modeled Understat chances
Past Chance Quality
21 shots
The model estimated 2.44 goals from these shots; actual goals: 3. 2022-11-23 to 2024-07-05.
Recent League Form
282 shots
Aggregate club/league form where pulled.
Club xG Context
26.23 xG
Club xG context from covered leagues.
Experimental xG Check
24.56 xG
190 modeled Understat shots. Research layer only.
This profile separates historical shot-quality evidence from recent club context. It avoids treating a small StatsBomb sample as a complete player forecast.
Scoring vs expected
0.56
Goals minus expected goals estimate
Average shot quality
0.116
Roughly how dangerous each shot was on average.
Open-data sample range
2022-11-23 to 2024-07-05
How to read this dashboard
Past shot samples used by the expected-goals model. Not a 2026 prediction.
25/26 percentile scouting profiles. Percentiles are not raw stats and are not model inputs.
Recent club and league form context. Not used by the trained expected-goals model.
Club expected-goals context from covered leagues, plus a separate experimental xG check where clearly labeled.