World Cup xG Lab
TeamsPlayersModelCoverage
StatsBomb powers the past chance-quality model and shot-location views. FBref adds recent league-form context. Understat adds club xG context. DataMB adds 25/26 percentile scouting profiles. This dashboard is not a guaranteed 2026 World Cup prediction model.
MR

England

Marcus Rashford

ForwardLimited evidence

Barcelona on loan from Manchester United - Unknown / verify manually

18 past sample shotsLeague formClub xGExperimental xG check

Data read

Limited evidence

When the historical sample is weak, use recent club and league context to understand role, volume, and form.

Player summary

Marcus Rashford has limited historical shot evidence.

This player has only 18 historical shots in the dashboard, so the expected-goals model has limited evidence.

Recent club, league, and scouting context from recent league form (FBref), club xG context (Understat), experimental xG check can still help describe their current role and shooting volume where available.

Takeaway: this player page is more useful for scouting context than model-based conclusions.

Limited historical shot sample

Small historical shot sample: use the club, league, and percentile context below to better understand recent player form.

Past sample shots

18

StatsBomb open-data matches

StatsBomb

xG in available past matches

3.25

Not a 2026 forecast

StatsBomb

Goals

4

Goals in covered matches

StatsBomb

Scoring vs expected

0.75

Goals minus expected goals estimate

StatsBomb

Shots

192

Recent club/league rows pulled

Goals

23

Recent league form

Minutes

5,900

Where available

Club shots

196

Understat rows

Club xG

29.50

Context only

Club goals

29

Covered seasons

Modeled shots

572

Understat shot rows

Experimental xG

76.43

Research layer only

High-xG shots

115

Modeled Understat chances

  • - Player data describes past available samples and club context, not a 2026 World Cup forecast.
  • - StatsBomb powers the past chance-quality model; recent league form, club xG, and percentile profiles are context layers.
  • - Small shot samples can make xG and finishing numbers noisy.
  • - Missing source matches can come from league coverage or player-name differences.
StatsBomb

Past Chance Quality

18 shots

The model estimated 3.25 goals from these shots; actual goals: 4. 2018-06-28 to 2022-12-10.

FBref

Recent League Form

192 shots

Aggregate club/league form where pulled.

Understat

Club xG Context

29.50 xG

Club xG context from covered leagues.

Understat

Experimental xG Check

76.43 xG

572 modeled Understat shots. Research layer only.

Overview

This profile separates historical shot-quality evidence from recent club context. It avoids treating a small StatsBomb sample as a complete player forecast.

Scoring vs expected

0.75

Goals minus expected goals estimate

Average shot quality

0.180

Roughly how dangerous each shot was on average.

Open-data sample range

2018-06-28 to 2022-12-10

How to read this dashboard

StatsBomb

Past shot samples used by the expected-goals model. Not a 2026 prediction.

DataMB

25/26 percentile scouting profiles. Percentiles are not raw stats and are not model inputs.

FBref

Recent club and league form context. Not used by the trained expected-goals model.

Understat

Club expected-goals context from covered leagues, plus a separate experimental xG check where clearly labeled.