Brazil
Santos - Brazilian football league system
Data read
Limited evidence
When the historical sample is weak, use recent club and league context to understand role, volume, and form.
Player summary
In the available historical sample, Neymar took 39 shots. xG estimates how many goals those chances were usually worth. The model estimated those shots were worth about 7.41 goals, and Neymar scored 4.
He scored about 3.4 fewer goals than expected from the chances in this sample. The average shot was worth about 0.190 xG, or roughly a 19% chance of becoming a goal. Recent club and scouting context is also available from recent league form (FBref), club xG context (Understat), experimental xG check.
Past sample shots
39
StatsBomb open-data matches
xG in available past matches
7.41
Not a 2026 forecast
Goals
4
Goals in covered matches
Scoring vs expected
-3.41
Goals minus expected goals estimate
Shots
67
Recent club/league rows pulled
Goals
8
Recent league form
Minutes
1,735
Where available
Club shots
232
Understat rows
Club xG
49.62
Context only
Club goals
47
Covered seasons
Modeled shots
702
Understat shot rows
Experimental xG
125.53
Research layer only
High-xG shots
192
Modeled Understat chances
Past Chance Quality
39 shots
The model estimated 7.41 goals from these shots; actual goals: 4. 2018-06-17 to 2022-12-09.
Recent League Form
67 shots
Aggregate club/league form where pulled.
Club xG Context
49.62 xG
Club xG context from covered leagues.
Experimental xG Check
125.53 xG
702 modeled Understat shots. Research layer only.
This profile separates historical shot-quality evidence from recent club context. It avoids treating a small StatsBomb sample as a complete player forecast.
Scoring vs expected
-3.41
Goals minus expected goals estimate
Average shot quality
0.190
Roughly how dangerous each shot was on average.
Open-data sample range
2018-06-17 to 2022-12-09
How to read this dashboard
Past shot samples used by the expected-goals model. Not a 2026 prediction.
25/26 percentile scouting profiles. Percentiles are not raw stats and are not model inputs.
Recent club and league form context. Not used by the trained expected-goals model.
Club expected-goals context from covered leagues, plus a separate experimental xG check where clearly labeled.