National team profile
Mexico
1962-05-30 to 2024-07-01
Start with the team summary, then open the detail sections below for past chance quality, data strength, and club or league context.
Some evidence
170 past sample shotsLeague formClub xG
Data read
The detail sections below separate past shot evidence from recent club and league context.
Team summary
Mexico has a useful historical shot sample.
In the matches covered by this dashboard, Mexico took 170 shots. xG estimates how many goals a team would usually score from the chances they created. The model estimated those chances were worth about 15.1 goals, and Mexico actually scored 6.
They scored about 9.1 fewer goals than expected from the chances in this sample. The average shot was worth about 0.089 xG, or roughly a 9% chance of becoming a goal. Match dates in this sample: 1962-05-30 to 2024-07-01.
Takeaway: this profile is useful for understanding Mexico's past chance creation and finishing in the available data. It does not predict how many goals they will score in 2026.
Past sample shots
170
StatsBomb open-data matches
StatsBomb
Goals
6
Goals in covered matches
StatsBomb
xG in available past matches
15.1
Not a 2026 forecast
StatsBomb
Scoring vs expected
-9.1
Goals minus expected goals estimate
StatsBomb
Some evidence170 past sample shots are available.
This sample is large enough to make the past chance-quality numbers easier to read, but it still describes available past data only.
Players with recent club stats
92.3%
FBref match rate
Players with club xG context
26.9%
Understat match rate
FBref, Understat, and percentile sources help describe club form and source coverage. They do not replace the production xG model trained on StatsBomb open data.
Players with past chance-quality evidence
Carlos Alberto Vela Garrido1.68 estimated goals
Orbelín Pineda Alvarado1.32 estimated goals
Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena1.11 estimated goals
Santiago Tomás Giménez0.95 estimated goals
Henry Josué Martín Mex0.88 estimated goals
- - These numbers describe past available data, not projected 2026 World Cup totals.
- - Historical international/open-data samples and club context are separate layers.
- - Missing data does not mean a weak team or player.
- - Source coverage differs by competition, league, and player-name matching.
Overview
What do we know about this team? Past sample shots describe the available international/open-data sample, while club context helps fill in recent form where available.
How much past match data do we have?
170
StatsBomb open-data shots
Average shot quality
0.089
Roughly how dangerous each shot was on average.
Players with recent club stats
92.3%
FBref match rate
Players with club xG context
26.9%
Understat match rate
How to read this dashboard
StatsBomb
Past shot samples used by the expected-goals model. Not a 2026 prediction.
DataMB
25/26 percentile scouting profiles. Percentiles are not raw stats and are not model inputs.
FBref
Recent club and league form context. Not used by the trained expected-goals model.
Understat
Club expected-goals context from covered leagues, plus a separate experimental xG check where clearly labeled.